Monday, April 2, 2018

A Critical Analysis of "Expelled: No Intelligence Allowed" (Introduction)


This project was begun for the purpose of exploring and investigating the possibility of deception or misinformation in the movie Expelled: No Intelligence Allowed. Having now concluded that investigation, I believe there is a very strong case for rampant misinformation, and at least some clear cases of willful deception. Some of these instances have been documented by others already, but I have expanded on them, and have tried to find more and better sources of evidence than some other reviews have made. My original intention was by no means for this project to be of such a large scale; it’s only because of the enormity and severity of the deceit, misinformation, and manipulation evident in the movie that this grew to such an immense size (over 40,000 words, not even counting the footnotes).

I’d like to clarify what I mean when I say deceit, and how an intent to deceive can be knowable. If an informational movie like this communicates information which turns out to not be true, then that doesn’t necessarily mean that they had a specific willful intent to deliberately deceive the audience. It may simply be that they themselves were misinformed. The only way to know that somebody was being deliberately deceptive is to find out whether they knew that the way they were representing the information was false at the time they represented it. In some cases, all I can do is find evidence of misinformation, without any way to know whether the people making the movie were aware of its falsity or not (but if they weren’t, it speaks very ill indeed of their research quality, which should be essential to an informative piece like this). In other instances, however, a strong case can be made that they knew exactly how false the information was as they were conveying it.

I suppose it might also be necessary to briefly discuss the nature of evidence. I’ve tried as much as possible to provide overwhelming evidence for my position, so that nobody can claim that I’m simply making dogmatic, a priori assumptions that the movie is false. I have over two hundred footnotes (some of which have more than one link, providing multiple points of independent verification), and the sources are pretty much all on the internet, so you don’t have to hunt down some book to double-check my evidence.

So that speaks to the quantity of evidence; now let’s talk about the slightly more iffy subject of quality. In the early days of the internet, a research paper (for that is what this ultimately amounts to) with nothing but internet links would be considered an absolute garbage dump of shoddy, lazy research. Fortunately, these days, pretty much every major newspaper (and most minor ones) have a significant online presence, as do many scientific journals (though you often have to pay for those) and other reputable sources. So screw the proper MLA style for how to cite a newspaper article; now we can just paste in a URL, and it takes you right to where you need to go (as long as the link stays alive). But even among such reputable sources as major newspapers, there is still the capacity for human bias. There’s not really much I can do to present evidence so indisputable that an incredulous reader won’t be able to throw some of it out as being purely the product of bias. It is a common and understandable human reaction to subconsciously dismiss evidence from the other side of an argument purely because of its implications, and not because of any qualitative failing.[2]

However, I want to make the point that I didn’t throw out the “evidence” of this movie’s claims purely because it was on the other side of the argument from me and I didn’t like the implications. The only reason I’m now able to so confidently dismiss the claims of this movie is because I have built up such a large amount of evidence against it. So, if you have a suspicion that something printed in a New York Times article was not wholly accurate, then I encourage you to look for evidence to support that suspicion. But I must say, if somebody casually dismissed a piece of evidence printed in a liberal newspaper (or whatever other sources they think might have reasons for bias) only because those facts would point to someone on their side being a liar, then I don’t think they’re approaching this issue very rationally.[3]

Even so, I have made an effort to provide independent/redundant sources wherever possible. It’s harder to discredit the claims made by two independent sources, unless you really believe in a vast, global, multigenerational conspiracy to foist evolution on the unsuspecting public. To that I would say, if such a conspiracy were real, why did they ever let this movie get released? Furthermore, there are some instances where I was able to support my case with sources that would have no motive to fabricate this information. A good example is the fact-check of Caroline Crocker, where I was able to refute the movie’s claims using only a news article that seemed very sympathetic to her side of the issue, and an article from the Discovery Institute itself. In the case of Richard Sternberg, I found a page from his own website which directly contradicted the claims he made in the movie.

Ultimately, there’s a danger of what I might call an “infinite regress of incredulity.”  If one were determined to believe that everything in this movie were the Gospel Truth, one could suggest that the statement on Sternberg’s website were an elaborate hoax, or that the Discovery Institute was somehow tricked into posting an article that would later help falsify a movie that hadn’t even come out yet (or maybe the movie had already come out, and somebody hacked the DI website and posted the article with a false date). All these things may be technically possible, but I’m not gonna lose any sleep worrying about that. Like I said, I have over two hundred links. If you want to toss out a few of them, fine, go ahead. I’ll still have plenty more, which show a distinct pattern that this movie consistently presents false and misleading information.

But if you’re going to toss out every single piece of evidence I provide through such an extraordinary process of mental gymnastics, then I really think you should ask yourself why you’re not applying the same level of skepticism to this movie, as you are to my sources.





[3] I originally wrote this piece in 2015, before the rise of Donald Trump and his hypocritical siren call of “fake news.” It seems somewhat inadequate now that we’ve seen just how willing people are to summarily ignore or dismiss any sources which go against what they already believe, but I really don’t think it’s worth my time at this point to devote a whole additional section to making the rational case for not dismissing sources purely because they reach conclusions you don’t like. I would simply reiterate the point I made in the original paragraph; I didn’t ultimately reach this place of utter contempt for Expelled because I didn’t like the claims it was making. I got here by assembling an overwhelming body of evidence that the information being presented in the movie is false. I have challenged people who claim that the mainstream media is a hopeless morass of liberal bias to present their best evidence, and when they do, it’s extremely thin and subjective. So as it stands now, I see no evidence-based reason to exclude something like the New York Times as a credible source for this research project.

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